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JNCI: Journal of the National Cancer Institute

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Preprints posted in the last 90 days, ranked by how well they match JNCI: Journal of the National Cancer Institute's content profile, based on 16 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Integrating Lung Tissue-based Transcriptome-Wide Association Study with Single-cell RNA-sequencing Uncovers Susceptibility Genes and Cell Types Underlying Lung Cancer Risk

Xu, S.; Shi, J.; Li, B.; Shu, X.-O.; Tao, R.; Cai, H.; Wen, W.; Deppen, S. A.; Zhou, M. X.; Xu, L.; Wang, J.; Wu, J.; Yang, Y.; Guo, X.; Zheng, W.; Long, J.; Cai, Q.

2026-03-23 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.03.19.26348840 medRxiv
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Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have identified approximately 100 loci for lung cancer, but potential causal genes remain largely unknown. To address this, we conducted a lung tissue-specific transcriptome-wide association study (TWAS). Gene expression prediction models were constructed using data of adjacent normal lung tissues from our Vanderbilt Thoracic Biorepository (N=314) and normal lung tissues from the GTEx (N=466) and then applied to our lung cancer GWAS meta-analysis (55,174 cases and 1,294,174 controls). We identified 109 unique risk genes for lung cancer and its histological subtypes. Of them, 71 unique genes were novel discoveries, and 13 unique genes reside in novel loci. Smoking-conditional analysis revealed that 52 unique genes are unrelated to smoking behavior. Seven unique genes showed cell-type-specific colocalization within potential risk cell types, including the alveolar type I and II, dendritic, and natural killer cells. Seventeen unique genes are targeted of 58 drugs that have been approved or in Phase II or III trials. In addition, 22 unique potential causal genes were supported by both Mendelian randomization and colocalization. Functional validation identified three genes through in vitro knockdown experiments. Our study identified new lung cancer candidate risk genes and offered insights into lung cancer biology and future translational utilities.

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Psychosocial mediators for the impact of personal genomic risk information on melanoma prevention and early detection behaviors

Wang, S. E.; Espinoza, D.; Lo, S.; Smit, A. K.; Cust, A. E.

2026-05-10 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.07.26352695 medRxiv
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BackgroundIn the Melanoma Genomics Managing Your Risk Study, access to personal genomic risk testing led to improvements in some melanoma prevention and early detection behaviors. PurposeWe aimed to examine the hypothesized psychosocial mediators of the effects observed in the trial. MethodsAustralians of European ancestry without melanoma and aged 18-69 years were recruited via the national Medicare database and randomized to receive personal genomic risk information or usual care (N=1,025). Questionnaires were administered at baseline, 1-month post-intervention, and 12-months post-baseline to assess self-reported prevention and early detection behaviors and psychosocial measures. To identify potential mediators, we first evaluated the interventions effect on psychosocial measures and the associations between psychosocial measures and behavioral outcomes. We then estimated the natural indirect effects (NIEs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to quantify the effects mediated by potential mediators identified. ResultsAmong participants with high traditional melanoma risk, the interventions effect on increased sun protection at 1-month was partially mediated by changes in perceived importance [NIE mean difference (95% CI): 0.02 (0.00, 0.04)] and perceived effectiveness [0.01 (0.00, 0.03)] of sun protection strategies. Among women, the interventions effect on increased whole-body skin examinations at 1-month was partially mediated by perceived capability to engage in skin examinations [NIE odds ratio (95% CI): 1.08 (1.00, 1.29)] and perceived control over detecting a future melanoma [1.13 (1.03, 1.32)]. ConclusionsThe effectiveness of precision prevention and early detection interventions may be enhanced by targeting key psychosocial mediators through tailored communication of personal melanoma risk.

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Novel risk models based on screening history results and timing of lung cancer diagnosis: Post hoc analysis of the National Lung Cancer Screening Trial

Haddan, S.; Waqas, A.; Rasool, G.; Schabath, M. B.

2026-04-14 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.12.26350705 medRxiv
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BackgroundOur group previously reported that lung cancer (LC) screening history results and subsequent timing of diagnosis are associated with significant differences in survival outcomes. As a follow-up study, we sought to develop novel personalized risk models that considered screening history for incidence cancers, interval LCs, and prevalence LCs. MethodsUsing data from the CT-arm of the NLST, four independent case-control analyses were conducted to develop parsimonious risk models. Controls (n=26,038) were those never diagnosed with LC. The four LC case groups were 270 prevalence LCs, 44 interval LCs, 206 screen-detected LCs (SDLCs) that had a baseline positive screen, and 164 SDLCs that had a baseline negative screen. For each case-control analysis, univariable analyses identified statistically significant covariates from 48 variables and then significant covariates were included into a stepwise backward selection approach to identify a model with the most informative covariates. ResultsFor prevalence LCs, the model (AUC=0.711) included age, pack-years smoked, BMI, smoking status, smoking onset age, personal history of cancer, family history of LC, alcohol consumption, and milling occupation. For interval LCs, the model (AUC=0.734) included age, smoking status, smoking onset age, cigar smoking, marital status, and asbestos occupation. For baseline positive SDLCs, the model (AUC=0.685) included age, pack-years smoked, BMI, emphysema, chemicals/plastics exposure, and milling occupation. For baseline negative SDLCs, the model (AUC=0.701) included age, pack-years smoked, BMI, smoking status, emphysema, sarcoidosis, and sandblasting occupation. ConclusionsBesides smoking and age, which are inclusion criteria for screening, these models identified other important risk factors which could be used to provide personalized LC risk assessment and screening management.

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Epigenetic inflammation signatures and lung cancer risk among never-smoking women: a nested case-control study

Rahman, M. L.; Gargapati, A.; Hurwitz, L. M.; Hu, W.; Keil, A. P.; Breeze, C. E.; Chaturvedi, A.; Shi, J.; Cai, Q.; Yang, G.; Long, J.; Gao, Y.-t.; Christiani, D. C.; Rothman, N.; Zheng, W.; Shu, X.-O.; Wong, J. Y. Y.; Lan, Q.

2026-04-29 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.27.26351864 medRxiv
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IntroductionChronic inflammation has been implicated in lung carcinogenesis. Prospective studies have linked higher circulating C-reactive protein (CRP), an acute-phase inflammation marker, to higher lung cancer risk in predominantly smoking populations but lower risk in never smokers. We evaluated DNA methylation-based inflammation risk scores (DNAm-IRSs), which may capture longer-term immune-inflammatory and exposure-related biology, with lung cancer risk among never smokers. MethodsWe evaluated six DNAm-IRSs, including four CRP-based scores (IRSLigthart, IRSWielscher, IRSLinear_Hillary, IRSElnet_Hillary), in 683 risk-set-sampled case-control pairs nested in the Shanghai Womens Health Study (n=74,941). We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using conditional logistic regression. We examined DNAm-derived leukocyte composition and circulating immune-inflammatory proteins to characterize DNAm-IRS biology. ResultsCirculating CRP correlated positively with IRSLigthart (r=0.19), IRSWielscher (r=0.13), and IRSElnet_Hillary (r=0.30), but inversely with IRSLinear_Hillary (r=-0.02). Per standard deviation increase, IRSLigthart was associated with lower lung cancer risk (HR=0.85, 95% CI: 0.76-0.95), and IRSWielscher with lower risks of lung cancer (HR=0.87, 95% CI: 0.77-0.97) and adenocarcinoma (HR=0.83, 95% CI: 0.71-0.97). Associations persisted after adjustment for leukocyte composition and strengthened after adjustment for DNAm pack-years, an epigenetic smoking index that may capture combustion-related exposures beyond active smoking. Inverse associations were more evident among women with lower DNAm pack-years, although formal interaction tests were not statistically significant. Both scores were positively associated with acute-phase inflammation, IFN-{gamma}/effector trafficking, and higher CD8+ T-cell proportions. ConclusionsAmong never smokers, selected CRP-related DNAm-IRSs were associated with lower lung cancer risk and were linked to immune features consistent with antitumor activity.

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Five-Domain Accelerometer-Derived Behavioral Exposome and Incident Cancer Risk in UK Biobank

Ni Chan Chin (Chengqin Ni), M.; Berrio, J. A.

2026-04-12 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.07.26350369 medRxiv
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BackgroundAccelerometer-derived behavioral phenotype captures multidimensional aspects of human behavior extending well beyond physical activity, encompassing light exposure, step counts, physical activity patterns, sleep, and circadian rhythms. Whether these five domains constitute a unified behavioral architecture underlying cancer risk and whether circadian organization and light exposure confer incremental predictive value beyond movement volume alone remains to be comprehensively established. MethodsWe conducted an accelerometer-wide association study (AWAS) encompassing the complete accelerometer-derived behavioral exposome across five behavioral domains in UK Biobank participants with valid wrist accelerometry data. Incident solid cancers were designated as the primary endpoint, with prespecified site-specific solid cancers and hematological malignancy as secondary outcomes. Cox proportional hazards models with age as the timescale were used. The minimal covariate set served as the primary reporting tier, followed by sensitivity analyses additionally adjusting for adiposity/metabolic factors, independent activity patterns, shift work history, and accelerometry measurement quality. Nominal statistical significance was defined as two-sided P < 0.05 ResultsAmong 89,080 participants, 6,598 incident solid cancer events were observed over a median follow-up of 8.39 years. In the minimally adjusted model, the pan-solid-tumor association atlas was dominated by signals from activity volume, inactivity fragmentation, and circadian rhythm. Higher overall acceleration (HR per SD: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.89-0.94) and higher daily step counts (HR: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.90-0.95) were independently associated with reduced solid cancer risk, while inactivity fragmentation metrics were consistently linked to higher risk. Notably, circadian rhythms, most prominently cosinor mesor (Midline Estimating Statistic of Rhythm under cosinor model), emerged as leading inverse risk signals, underscoring the independent contribution of circadian behavioral architecture. Site-specific analyses revealed pronounced heterogeneity across tumor sites. Lung cancer exhibited a robust inverse activity-risk gradient, while breast cancer showed reproducible associations with MVPA. Most strikingly, nocturnal light exposure demonstrated a tumor-site-specific association confined to pancreatic cancer, a signal absent across all other sites examined. Associations for uterine cancer were predominantly inactivity-related and substantially attenuated following adjustment for adiposity and metabolic factors. ConclusionsAcross five accelerometer-derived behavioral domains, solid cancers as a whole were most consistently associated with a high-movement, low-fragmentation, and circadian-coherent behavioral profile. While site-specific heterogeneity exists, the broad cancer risk landscape is dominated by movement volume, inactivity fragmentation, and circadian rhythmicity. Light exposure, although more localized in its contribution, demonstrates a potentially novel and specific association with pancreatic cancer risk. These findings support a five-domain behavioral exposome framework for cancer epidemiology and, importantly, position circadian rhythm integrity and nocturnal light exposure as critically understudied dimensions warranting dedicated mechanistic investigation.

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Radiosensitization of Glioblastoma by the K-ras Inhibitor RMC-6236

Camphausen, K.; Yun, H. S.; Kramp, T.; Sproull, M.; Thakur, K.; Chakravarti, A.

2026-06-02 neuroscience 10.64898/2026.05.29.728724 medRxiv
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PurposeGlioblastoma (GBM) is characterized by poor clinical outcomes and marked resistance to radiotherapy. Because effective radiosensitizing strategies for GBM remain limited, we investigated whether inhibition of KRAS/RAS signaling could enhance radiation response in GBM. In particular, we evaluated the radiosensitizing potential of RMC-6236, an RAS(ON) multiselective inhibitor that suppresses active RAS signaling across multiple RAS-dependent states. Experimental DesignHuman GBM cell lines (U251, LN-18, ACPK1, and OSU61) were treated with radiation, with or without genetic or pharmacological KRAS inhibition. KRAS signaling was suppressed by siRNA-mediated knockdown or RMC-6236 treatment. Radiation-induced KRAS activation and downstream MAPK signaling were assessed by Raf-RBD pull-down assays and immunoblotting. Radiosensitivity was evaluated using clonogenic survival assay. DNA damage persistence, cell cycle distribution, and mitotic catastrophe were analyzed by {gamma}H2AX immunofluorescence, flow cytometry, and nuclear morphology assessment, respectively. In vivo therapeutic efficacy was examined in an orthotopic U251 xenograft model. ResultsRadiation-induced transient activation and increased KRAS protein expression of KRAS, accompanied by activation of ERK, JNK, and p38 signaling in GBM cells. siKRAS suppressed radiation-induced KRAS and MAPK activation, and significantly enhanced radiosensitivity in all four GBM cell lines. Similarly, RMC-6236 inhibited radiation-induced KRAS activation and attenuated downstream MAPK signaling without reducing the total KRAS protein expression. RMC-6236 significantly increased the radiosensitivity across all GBM cell lines, with dose enhancement factors ranging from 1.33 1.46. Mechanistically, combined treatment with RMC-6236 and radiation increased persistent {gamma}H2AX foci and enhanced mitotic catastrophe without producing consistent redistribution of cells into radiosensitive cell cycle phases. In an orthotopic GBM model, the combination of RMC-6236 and radiation significantly prolonged survival compared to that of the control and radiation alone. ConclusionsThese findings indicate that radiation-induced KRAS signaling is a functionally important mediator of radioresistance in GBM and demonstrate that inhibition of KRAS/RAS signaling enhances the radiation response in vitro and in vivo. RMC-6236 may represent a promising radiosensitizing strategy for GBM by suppressing adaptive RAS/MAPK signaling and promoting persistent DNA damage and mitotic catastrophe following irradiation. However, clinical trials of this combination are warranted.

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Large-scale association study identifies lung cancer susceptibility copy number variants and their potential functional role in genetic instability

Xiao, F.; Qin, F.; Luo, X.; Slewitzke, S. E.; Fernandes, G. F.; Johansson, M.; Xiao, X.; Zaridze, D.; Bojesen, S. E.; Shete, S.; Albanes, D.; Aldrich, M. C.; Tardon, A.; Fernandez-Tardon, G.; Le Marchand, L.; Rennert, G.; Bickeböeller, H.; Wichmann, H.-E.; Risch, A.; Muley, T.; Rosenberger, A.; Field, J. K.; Davies, M.; Woll, P.; Kiemeney, L. A.; Haugen, A.; Zienolddiny, S.; Lam, S.; Johansson, M.; Grankvist, K.; Schabath, M. B.; Andrew, A.; Lazarus, P.; Arnold, S. M.; Zhu, D.; Brenner, H.; Neuhouser, M. L.; Hung, R. J.; Christiani, D. C.; McKay, J.; Cai, G.; Xia, J.; Amos, C. I.

2026-05-15 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.05.11.26352741 medRxiv
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Background: Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified numerous lung cancer susceptibility loci based on single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), yet a substantial proportion of heritability remains unexplained. We therefore evaluated germline copy number variants (CNVs) as an underexplored source of genetic susceptibility and potential contributors to genomic instability in lung cancer. Methods: We conducted a genome-wide analysis of germline CNVs using 19,342 cases and 15,917 controls from the Transdisciplinary Research in Cancer of the Lung (TRICL) consortium, with replication in two independent cohorts. High-confidence CNVs were identified by integrating two CNV callers including PennCNV and modSaRa2. Association analyses were performed using both gene-based and CNV region-based approaches. Polygenic risk scores (PRS) were constructed from top loci, and functional validation was conducted using siRNA-mediated knockdown in lung fibroblast cells. Results: We identified CNVs in four genomic regions (1p36.22, 2q31.2, 6p21.32, and 19q13.32) significantly associated with lung cancer risk. Two loci (1p36.22 and 2q31.2) were consistently supported across both analytical strategies. A CNV-based PRS constructed from key genes (CLCN6, NFE2L2, OPA3, and PSMB8) was significantly associated with lung cancer risk and replicated across independent datasets. Functional assays demonstrated that knockdown of NFE2L2 and OPA3 increased endogenous DNA damage, supporting a role in genomic stability. Conclusions: Germline CNVs contribute to lung cancer susceptibility and may influence carcinogenesis through mechanisms related to genomic instability. Impact: These findings expand the genetic architecture of lung cancer and highlight CNVs as potential biomarkers for improving risk stratification and informing precision prevention strategies.

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Urban infrastructure and spatiotemporal environmental features for EGFR-mutant lung cancer

Lu, D.; Cui, L.; Kunz, N.; Wong, M.; Tayarani, M.; Solomon, J. P.; Garcia, C. A.; Altorki, N. K.; Choi, E.; Gao, H. O.; Shieh, Y.

2026-05-21 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.18.26353481 medRxiv
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Background: Lung cancer in never-smokers is rising, with a substantial proportion harboring the EGFR mutation. While fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is a recognized risk factor, other intervenable pollutants and built environmental factors remain unknown. Objectives: To identify urban characteristics associated with EGFR-mutant (vs. wild-type) lung cancer using high-resolution spatiotemporal data. Methods: We analyzed 2,699 lung cancer patients with documented EGFR status treated at a high-volume academic medical center in New York City. Patient residential addresses were linked to high-resolution (300m x 300m) 5-year cumulative exposures to 3 air pollutants and 26 urban features. We developed Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) models to classify EGFR status, comparing a basic clinical model with established predictors (Asian, female, never-smoking status, and adenocarcinoma histology) to an extended model with additional urban factors. Predictive performance was assessed based on discrimination (AUC). Results: We included 2,699 patients, of whom 54.1% were female and 25.8% self-identified as Asian, 11.2% as Black, and 7.4% as Hispanic; and 29% had EGFR-mutated cancer. The extended model showed modest improvements in discrimination (AUC: 0.775 [95% CI, 0.739-0.809] vs. 0.768 [0.723-0.811]), compared to the clinical model. Newly identified factors for EGFR-mutant status included black carbon (BC), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), proximity to airports, reduced access to public transportation, elevated noise levels, and lead exposure. Conclusions: Traffic-related pollutants (BC, NO2) from diesel engines and motor vehicles, and proximity to airports, were among the novel spatiotemporal features associated with EGFR-mutant lung cancer. These results may inform policy interventions.

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Neighborhood Deprivation and Racial Disparities in Metastatic Prostate Cancer at Diagnosis: A Population-Based Study in Ohio

Payne, J. Y.; Rhodes, S.; Shoag, J.; Rothberg, M.; Le, P.; Cullen, J.; Hartman, H.

2026-06-03 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354723 medRxiv
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Background: Prostate cancer survival varies by stage at diagnosis, and Black men experience a disproportionate burden of advanced disease. We examined whether neighborhood deprivation, measured by Area Deprivation Index (ADI), contributes to racial differences in metastatic presentation. Methods: We conducted a population-based study of men diagnosed with prostate cancer in the Ohio Cancer Incidence Surveillance System from 1996 to 2016. The primary endpoint was distant-stage disease at diagnosis. Generalized additive models assessed nonlinear associations of ADI and diagnosis year with metastatic risk. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) models estimated odds ratios comparing Black with White men after sequential adjustment for diagnosis year, age, insurance, and ADI. Results: Among 135,095 men, 18,690 were Black and 116,405 were White. Distant-stage disease occurred in 7.0% of Black men and 5.0% of White men. Black men had higher median ADI (60.9 vs. 47.3). Medicaid-insured men had the highest unadjusted odds of metastatic presentation (OR, 4.68; 95% CI, 4.13-5.31), exceeding uninsured men (OR, 2.91; 95% CI, 2.54-3.34). In IPTW models without age adjustment, the odds ratio decreased from 1.54 to 1.24 after adding insurance and ADI. In age-adjusted IPTW models, the odds ratio decreased from 1.79 to 1.41 after adding insurance and ADI. Generalized additive models showed increasing metastatic risk at higher ADI values and after 2008. Conclusions: Neighborhood deprivation and insurance-related access explained part, but not all, of the excess odds of metastatic diagnosis among Black men. Impact: Integrating ADI into cancer surveillance may improve identification of populations at risk for late-stage diagnosis.

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Weight Trajectories and Cancer Risk: A Pooled Cohort Study

Nilsson, A.; da Silva, M.; Le, H. T.; Haggstrom, C.; Wahlstrom, J.; Michaelsson, K.; Trolle Lagerros, Y.; Sandin, S.; Magnusson, P. K.; Fritz, J.; Stocks, T.

2026-04-24 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.23.26351553 medRxiv
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Excess body weight has been associated with increased cancer risk, but the role of weight change across adulthood remains unclear. We examined body weight trajectories from ages 17 to 60 and their associations with site-specific cancer incidence. Data were based on the ODDS study, a pooled, nationwide cohort study in Sweden, with data on weight spanning 1911 to 2020, and cancer follow-up through 2023. Weight trajectories were estimated with linear mixed effects models in individuals with at least three weight measurements. Cox regressions estimated hazard ratios for associations between weight trajectories and established and potentially obesity-related cancers. Fifth versus first quintile of weight change was associated with many cancers, most strongly with esophageal adenocarcinoma in men (HR 2.25; 95% CI 1.66-3.04), liver cancer in men (HR 2.67; 95% CI 2.15-3.33), endometrial cancer in women (HR 3.78; 95% CI 3.09-4.61), and pituitary tumors in both sexes (men: HR 3.13 [95% CI 2.13-4.61]; women: HR 2.13 [95% CI 1.41-3.22]). Associations varied by sex and age. Heavier weight at age 17 years and earlier obesity onset were also associated with higher cancer incidence. These findings highlight the importance of a life-course approach to weight management and support sex- and age-targeted cancer prevention strategies.

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Serum Cotinine and Wrist-Worn Ambient Light Exposure Patterns in U.S. Adults: A Cross-Sectional Analysis of NHANES 2011-2014

Wong, A.; Lee, C. W.; Park, A.; Yin, L.; Choi, Y.

2026-06-04 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354759 medRxiv
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Background. Tobacco smoke exposure, quantified by serum cotinine, is associated with cardiovascular, metabolic, and sleep-related health risks. The relationship between biomarker-verified tobacco smoke exposure and objectively measured, free-living wrist-worn ambient light patterns has not been examined in a nationally representative U.S. adult sample. Methods. We analyzed NHANES 2011-2014 cross-sectional data from 6,937 adults aged >20 years with valid serum cotinine and wrist-worn Physical Activity Monitor (PAM) ambient light data. Seven light outcomes were modeled using survey-weighted linear regression with log2(cotinine+1) as the continuous exposure across four covariate adjustment levels. Benjamini-Hochberg false discovery rate (FDR) correction was applied across the 7 outcomes within each model. Results. In Model 2 (adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, poverty-income ratio, BMI, and survey cycle; N = 6,350), higher serum cotinine was associated with significantly higher nighttime light (beta = +0.024, 95% CI: 0.010, 0.038; p-FDR = 0.014) and lower evening light (beta = -0.031, 95% CI: -0.055, -0.008; p-FDR = 0.042). In exploratory behavioral models without alcohol (Model 3a; N = 5,766), both nighttime and evening associations remained FDR-significant. After additional adjustment for alcohol, which substantially reduced the sample due to 37.6% missingness (Model 3b; N = 3,866), the nighttime association attenuated below the FDR threshold, while the evening association remained FDR-significant. Categorical analyses showed progressively higher nighttime light across cotinine groups, and a hypothesis-generating sex interaction was identified (p-interaction = 0.001). Conclusions. Higher serum cotinine concentrations were associated with higher nighttime and lower evening ambient light after sociodemographic adjustment. Attenuation after behavioral adjustment and the cross-sectional design preclude causal inference. Longitudinal studies with formal mediation analyses are needed to clarify the temporal ordering and mechanisms linking tobacco smoke exposure, smoking-related behaviors, and personal light-dark cycle patterns.

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Inherited genetic risk factors in young-onset lung cancer

Esai Selvan, M.; Gould Rothberg, B. E.; Patel, A. A.; Sang, J.; Horowitz, A.; Christiani, D. C.; Klein, R. J.; Gumus, Z. H.

2026-04-15 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350822 medRxiv
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IntroductionLung cancer is rare before age 45, and its inherited genetic basis remains poorly defined. MethodsWe performed whole-genome sequencing in 171 predominantly young-onset lung cancer patients and integrated these data with whole-exome sequencing from six major lung cancer consortia, yielding 9,065 patients. After quality control, analyses focused on 6,545 individuals of European ancestry, the largest ancestral group. We compared the prevalence of rare pathogenic and likely pathogenic (P/LP) germline variants between 186 young-onset (age <45 years) and 6,359 older patients at gene and gene-set levels using Fishers exact test, stratified by histology, sex, and smoking status. Polygenic risk scores (PRS) derived from common variants were also evaluated. ResultsYoung-onset patients carried a higher burden of rare germline P/LP variants in DNA damage response (DDR) genes (including BRIP1, ERCC6, MSH5), and in cilia-related genes, notably GPR161. At the pathway level, DDR genes were significantly enriched (OR=1.66, p=0.007), with the strongest signal in the Fanconi Anemia pathway and among females (OR=1.96, p=0.01). Enrichment was also observed in inborn errors of immunity pathways, with strongest signals in antibody deficiency and the complement system genes. Young-onset patients additionally exhibited higher lung cancer PRS. ConclusionYoung-onset lung cancer exhibits a distinct germline genetic architecture, characterized by enrichment of rare P/LP variants in DDR, cilia-related, and immune pathways, and an elevated lung cancer PRS. These findings support a greater role for inherited susceptibility in early-onset disease and have implications for risk stratification, earlier screening, and precision prevention.

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Genomic-Adjusted Radiation Dose from Bulk RNA Sequencing for Personalized Radiotherapy

Bergman, D. T.; Durkin, J.; Joshi, N.; Eschrich, S. A.; Torres-Roca, J. F.; Scott, J. G.

2026-05-30 genomics 10.64898/2026.05.29.728725 medRxiv
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Radiotherapy is delivered to more than half of all patients with cancer yet is prescribed using uniform physical doses despite well-established interpatient variability in biological response. The genomic-adjusted radiation dose (GARD), derived from the radiosensitivity index (RSI), integrates tumor transcriptomics with radiation dose to estimate patient-specific treatment effect, and has been clinically validated as a predictor of radiotherapy benefit across diverse disease sites, including breast, lung, head and neck, glioma, sarcoma, rectal, and endometrial cancers. However, further clinical validation and deployment has been limited by reliance on microarray-based expression. Here we develop an RNA sequencing-based formulation of RSI (RSI-seq) and show that it preserves the functional properties of the original model across measurement platforms. RSI-seq maintains concordance with microarray RSI, including preservation of patient rank ordering (pooled Spearman{rho} = 0.86), and, when integrated into GARD, reproduces predicted changes in biological effect under clinically relevant dose perturbations (R2 [&ge;] 0.78 for {Delta}GARD in both directions). This preservation of interventional prediction is robust to expression noise and invariant to normalization strategy, enabling consistent application across RNA-seq pipelines. Application across the TCGA pan-cancer transcriptomic atlas demonstrates scalability across tumor types, with cohort medians agreeing closely with previously published microarray RSI medians (Spearman{rho} = 0.68, Pearson r = 0.85 across 20 matched cohorts). By bringing a clinically validated radiogenomic dose model into the RNA-sequencing era, RSI-seq makes biologically personalized radiotherapy directly accessible, retrospectively in existing RNA-seq cohorts and prospectively in modern clinical sequencing workflows, across the full range of tumor types treated with radiation.

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Antibiotic Timing and Survival After Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Initiation in Patients With Cancer

Zhang, K.; John, D.; Li, W. T.; Hogarth, M.; McKay, R. R.; Ongkeko, W. M.

2026-05-28 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354193 medRxiv
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Importance: While gut dysbiosis is known to impair response to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), the relative clinical impact of antibiotic timing (pre- vs. post-ICI initiation) remains unclear. Objective: To evaluate whether antibiotic timing differentially influences overall survival (OS) in a large, multi-institutional pan-cancer cohort. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study utilized deidentified electronic health record data from six academic medical centers within the University of California Health system. We included 21,108 adults with any malignancy who received PD-1, PD-L1, or CTLA-4 inhibitors between January 2014 and December 2024. Exposures: Antibiotic exposure windows were categorized as pre-only (-60 to -1 days), post-only (+1 to +60 days), both windows, or none. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was overall survival (OS) calculated from the first ICI dose. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for demographics, tumor type, line of therapy, and baseline health indicators (albumin, NLR, and recent hospitalization). Results: Among 21,108 patients, 17.3% had pre-only exposure, 13.3% had post-only exposure, and 60.6% had no exposure. In the multivariable model, post-only exposure (HR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.20-1.35) and combined pre- and post- exposure (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.23-1.40) were significantly associated with higher mortality. Pre-only exposure was not significantly associated with OS (HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.99-1.10). Subgroup analyses by tumor type showed consistent trends across major malignancies, including head and neck (Post HR, 1.46) and renal cell carcinoma (Post HR, 1.26). Conclusions and Relevance: In contrast to some smaller studies, this large-scale analysis indicates that antibiotic exposure after ICI initiation carries a greater risk than exposure prior to treatment. These findings highlight the need for rigorous antibiotic stewardship strategies specifically during the early phases of immunotherapy treatment.

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Lung adenocarcinoma WHO histological classes contain distinct immune cell profiles

Nastase, A.; Olanipekun, M.; Starren, E.; Willis-Owen, S. A. G.; Mandal, A.; Domingo-Sabugo, C.; Morris-Rosendahl, D.; Lim, E.; Liang, L.; Nicholson, A. G.; Moffatt, M. F.; Cookson, W. O. C.

2026-03-26 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.03.24.26348030 medRxiv
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Lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) is classified internationally into six histological subtypes that predict clinical outcomes. Mutation analyses identify targets but provide less prognostic information than histological appearances. Immunotherapy in LUAD is constrained by the unpredictable immune environment within tumours. We therefore characterised relationships between WHO histological classification, common mutations, and underlying transcriptomic and immune profiles in 89 LUAD cases. Mutation profiles poorly correlated with histology or survival. Global gene expression was structured into 12 modules, identifying different tumour cells and pathways within WHO subtypes. Tumour classes also held distinctive immune cell profiles. Transcripts within high-risk solid tumours indicated enrichment of CD8+ and activated CD4+ T-cells, suggesting responsivity to immunotherapy. Independently from histologic classification, 31 transcripts were strongly associated with survival and were enriched in macrophage and fibroblast derived networks. The results suggest histological subtype stratification and typing for survival-associated markers have the potential to inform clinical trials of LUAD.

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Joint Associations of Outdoor Nitrogen Dioxide and Temperature with Incident Adult-Onset Asthma in the United States

Lo, S.; Goodney, G. A.; Wang, H.; Lim, J.; Czach, S. V.; Fisher, J. A.; Hashemian, M.; Jones, R. R.; Wong, J. Y.

2026-05-21 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.15.26353311 medRxiv
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Background: Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) is a surrogate for traffic and industrial air pollution associated with adverse respiratory outcomes. Whether elevated NO2 and temperature jointly influence adult-onset asthma (AOA) risk is unclear, especially among subgroups with varying lifestyle and exposure profiles. We investigated further in the prospective All of Us research program. Methods: Among 596,926 U.S. participants who consented to electronic health record release, annual average NO2 concentrations from satellite data were linked to residential locations for 376,535 individuals. We used multivariable Cox regression to estimate associations between NO2, temperature, and incident AOA, adjusting for co-pollutants and potential confounders. We analyzed 4-category cross-classification variables between NO2 (high>75th percentile vs. low<=75th percentile) and maximum or average temperature (high>median vs. low<=median). We also stratified by sex, age, income, and smoking status. Additive interactions were estimated using Relative Excess Risk due to Interaction, Attributable Proportion, and Synergy Index. Results: We identified 10,413 incident AOA cases over an average 4-year follow-up. Participants with the highest categories of NO2 and temperature exposure had significantly higher risk compared to those with the lowest (HRHigh NO2 x High Max. Temp.=1.37, 95%CI:1.26-1.49; HRHigh NO2 x High Average Temp.=1.49, 95%CI:1.38-1.61). The joint association of high NO2 and high maximum temperature was more pronounced among ever-smokers (HR=1.59, 95%CI:1.40-1.81) than never-smokers (HR=1.26, 95%CI:1.13-1.41). Interaction analyses supported super-additive interactions of high NO2 and high average temperature on AOA risk, particularly among ever smokers, lower-income participants, and younger adults. Conclusion: Our findings highlight the respiratory health threat of long-term joint exposure to elevated NO2 and average temperature, particularly among vulnerable subgroups.

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Systemic mutagen exposures reported by normal kidney cell genomes

Wang, Y.; Knight, W.; Ferreiro-Iglesias, A.; Abedi-Ardekani, B.; Pham, M. H.; Moody, S.; Hooks, Y.; Abascal, F.; Nunn, C.; Fitzgerald, S.; Cattiaux, T.; Gaborieau, V.; Fukagawa, A.; Jinga, V.; Rascu, S.; Sima, C.; Zaridze, D. G.; Mukeria, A. F.; Holcatova, I.; Hornakova, A.; Vasudev, N. S.; Banks, R. E.; Ognjanovic, S.; Savic, S.; Curado, M. P.; Zequi, S. d. C.; Reis, R. M.; Magnabosco, W. J.; Vianna, F.; Silva Neto, B.; Jarmalaite, S.; Zalimas, A.; Foretova, L.; Navratilova, M.; Phouthavongsy, L.; Shire, C.; Attawettayanon, W.; Sangkhathat, S.; Ding, C.; Lawson, A. R. J.; Latimer, C.; Humphre

2026-04-09 genomics 10.64898/2026.04.07.716715 medRxiv
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Lifestyle, environmental and other exposures to exogenous mutagens generate somatic mutations in normal human cells in vivo and increase cancer risk. However, the global repertoire of exogenous mutagen exposures is uncertain. The mutational signatures of mutagens in normal tissues offer opportunities to detect such exposures and survey them at population level. Using single-molecule duplex sequencing of normal kidney (n=319) and blood (n=272) samples from 10 countries, we show that normal kidney cell genomes report an extensive repertoire of somatic mutational signatures. Microdissection of kidney structures revealed that proximal tubules exhibit higher mutation rates than other components of the nephron and most normal cell types despite low cell division rates. This is explained by marked enrichment of mutational signatures due to known exogenous carcinogenic mutagens including the plant-derived aristolochic acids, as well as several signatures of unknown causes including an unknown agent prevalent in Japan (SBS12), and signatures of uncertain origins (SBS40b and SBS40c). The results suggest the existence of multiple, common, systemically circulating mutagens affecting human populations and indicate that the genomes of kidney proximal tubule cells report such exposures with high sensitivity.

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Genomic ascertainment of PALB2-related cancer predisposition

Stewart, D.; Kim, J.; Haley, J. S.; Li, J.; Sargen, M. R.; Hong, H. G.; Tischkowitz, M.; McReynolds, L. J.; Carey, D. J.

2026-04-04 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.04.03.26349984 medRxiv
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PURPOSE To evaluate cancer risk, age-specific penetrance, and mortality associated with heterozygous pathogenic or likely pathogenic (P/LP) germline PALB2 variants identified through genomic ascertainment and to assess modification by family history of cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS We conducted a case-control study in two large population-based adult cohorts: the UK Biobank (n=469,580) and Geisinger MyCode (n=167,050). Individuals with heterozygous PALB2 P/LP variants were identified via exome sequencing and compared with non-carriers. Cancer diagnoses and vital status were obtained from linked registry and electronic health record data. We used multivariable logistic regression to estimate odds ratios (ORs) for cancer outcomes and Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality. Age-specific cumulative incidence (penetrance) was estimated using Kaplan-Meier methods. Models were adjusted for birth year, sex (when applicable), smoking status, and body mass index; stratified analyses assessed modification by family history of cancer. RESULTS PALB2 P/LP variant prevalence was 1:571 in UK Biobank and 1:940 in MyCode, with the higher prevalence in the UK cohort driven by the PALB2 p.Trp1038Ter founder variant. Compared with non-carriers, heterozygotes had significantly increased odds of any cancer, female breast cancer, pancreatic cancer, and cancers of ill-defined or secondary sites in both cohorts (P < 0.01). Adjusted hazard ratios for any cancer and female breast cancer ranged from 1.7 to 3.6. All-cause mortality was increased among PALB2-heterozygotes (HR 1.61-1.67), and survival after cancer diagnosis was reduced. Family history further modified cancer risk. CONCLUSION Genomic ascertainment of PALB2-heterozygotes identifies elevated risk for multiple cancers and increased mortality, although risks were lower than estimates from familial ascertainment. These findings inform risk management for individuals identified through genomic screening.

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Validation of Immunoscore for Prognostic Stratification in HPV-associated Oropharyngeal Cancer: An International Multicenter Study

Nguyen, D. H.; Majdi, A.; Marliot, F.; Houtart, V.; Kirilovsky, A.; Hijazi, A.; Fredriksen, T.; de Sousa Carvalho, N.; Bach, A.- S.; Gaultier, A.- L.; Fabiano, E.; Kreps, S.; Tartour, E.; Pere, H.; Veyer, D.; Blanchard, P.; Angell, H. K.; Pages, F.; Mirghani, H.; Galon, J.

2026-04-11 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350238 medRxiv
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BackgroundTreatment optimization in HPV-associated oropharyngeal cancer (OPSCC) remains challenging, as recent de-escalation trials have shown limited success. Current patient selection strategies based on smoking history and TNM classification are insufficient, highlighting the need for robust, standardized prognostic biomarkers. We report the first validation of the Immunoscore (IS) for prognostic stratification in HPV-associated OPSCC. Patients and methodsWe analyzed 191 HPV-associated (p16+ and HPV DNA/RNA+) OPSCC patients from an international multicenter cohort (2015-2024), comprising a French monocentric retrospective training cohort (N = 48) and three validation cohorts: French monocentric retrospective (N = 48), French multicenter prospective (N = 50), and US multicenter retrospective (N = 45). IS is a standardized digital pathology assay quantifying CD3lJ and CD8lJ densities in tumor cores and invasive margins, with cut-offs defined in the training cohort and validated across cohorts. Associations with disease-free survival (DFS), time to recurrence (TTR) and overall survival (OS) were assessed, alongside 3RNA-seq and sequential immunofluorescence profiling of immune composition. ResultsMedian age 65; 80% male; 74% smokers; 66% T1-2; 82% N0-1 (AJCC8th). IS-High patients demonstrated superior 3-year DFS in the training and validation cohorts 1-3 (all log-rank P < 0.05). Multivariable analysis identified IS-Low as the strongest independent risk factor for DFS (HR 9.03; 95% CI: 4.02-20.31; P < 0.001). The model combining IS with clinical factors showed higher predictive accuracy for DFS (C-index 0.82) than clinical variables alone (0.7; P < 0.0001). Similar findings were observed for TTR and OS. IS-High tumors showed markedly higher enrichment of lymphoid and myeloid immune cell populations, contrasting with immune-poor signatures in IS-Low tumors. ConclusionsIS is a robust biomarker that outperforms standard clinical variables in both prognostic and predictive accuracy. The enriched cytotoxic immune infiltrate in IS-High tumors explains favorable outcomes and supports their suitability for treatment de-escalation. Prospective validation is warranted.

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Elective Node Sparing in Head-and-Neck Cancer Radiotherapy Reduces Lymphocyte Damage, Lymphopenia, and Modulates Immune Signatures

Kaufmann, J.; Salah, A.; Marini, F.; Drabke, S.; Gercek, N.; Breinich, S.; Oebel, L.; Schmidberger, H.; Zahnreich, S.

2026-05-25 oncology 10.64898/2026.05.20.26352898 medRxiv
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Purpose: Elective nodal (EN) irradiation (ENI) during radiotherapy for locally advanced head-and-neck squamous cell carcinoma (LA-HNSCC) influences hematotoxicity, anti-tumor immunity, and synergy with immunotherapy. We evaluated whether EN-sparing upfront boosts affect DNA damage, systemic immune signaling in peripheral blood lymphocytes (PBLs), and radiation-induced lymphopenia (RIL). Methods and Materials: Twenty-eight patients with LA-HNSCC were randomized to either adjuvant or definitive chemoradiotherapy with standard ENI or EN-sparing upfront boost (adjuvant: 2x2 Gy; definitive: 5x2 Gy). Blood was collected pre-radiotherapy, 15 min, and 24 h after the first fraction, and before the sixth fraction. DNA damage in PBLs was assessed via {gamma}H2AX and 53BP1 foci and dicentric chromosome (DIC) assay. RNA sequencing was performed in two patients per group (definitive setting) at pre-CRT, before the sixth fraction, and at therapy end. Absolute lymphocyte counts (ALCs) were monitored weekly to assess RIL. Results: DNA damage in PBLs correlated with planning target volume and whole-body dose, both of which were reduced by EN-sparing by 9.9-fold and 4.4-fold, respectively (p < 0.001 each). Correspondingly, EN-sparing significantly reduced radiation-induced foci and DIC levels in PBLs (3-4-fold, p < 0.001) and lowered the fraction of radiation-damaged PBLs per fraction (11% vs. 23% with ENI, p < 0.001). EN-sparing preserved baseline ALCs during week 1 of chemoradiotherapy and delayed RIL, whereas ENI caused an immediate ALC decline and RIL. Lymphocyte counts after week 1 negatively correlated with planning target volume, whole-body dose, and DNA damage in PBLs (p < 0.01). Transcriptomics showed metabolic and interferon signaling associated with EN-sparing, versus sterile inflammatory and damage-associated patterns with ENI. Conclusions: EN-sparing by an upfront boost significantly reduced PBL damage and early RIL with distinct immune responses associated with lymphocyte viability and immune maturation. These findings support upfront EN-sparing strategies to mitigate RIL and improve radiotherapy-immunotherapy synergy in HNSCC.